Decoding the 2024 Election: Insights and Post-Election Revelations

Elections are a fun week for those of us working in DC in the policy arena. First, it is the equivalent of our Superbowl, and we wake up on Wednesday morning (sometimes) with winners and losers. I am a very competitive person, and I enjoy the element of competition in our democratic process. Watching vote totals, electoral college counts, and percent of counties reporting is like checking college football scores on Saturday. Second, our role of advocating for the industry in Washington DC means that we get a lot of calls and texts from members and friends asking for insights. The truth is, we likely don’t know any more than our members and friends in the heartland, but we probably obsess over it more. 

With that said, I am by no means a political expert or have the inside track that my friends, neighbors, or colleagues that actually work in politics; but proximity does allow us to come into contact with those who are. We heard from a political pundit or pollster weekly at association meetings leading up to the election. You can argue that hindsight is 20/20 vision, but by far the most impactful pundit I heard was at an Association CEO luncheon two days after the election. Former Cook Political Report and CNN political analyst Chris Cillizza provided an incredibly thoughtful post-election analysis, and I wanted to share some of the nuggets that he presented to the group. 

Cillizza’s analysis was not just insightful, but relatable and understandable to those of us who don’t live and breathe politics but are interested in better understanding a complex topic. Below are Chris’s insights into how former President (and now current President-Elect) Donald Trump pulled off such a decisive victory over Vice President Kalama Harris. His full detailed analysis is also available on his website, available here.

Key Stats for a Trump Victory

  • President Trump’s 2024 election victory saw the highest electoral vote count for a presidential candidate since President Obama won re-election in 2012.
  • President Trump increased his vote share in 48 out of 50 states compared to 2020.
  • Vice President Harris underperformed Biden’s 2020 performance in key Democratic strongholds such as New Jersey (Biden won by 16 points while Harris won by only 5), California (Biden won by 27 while Harris won by 16), and New York (Biden with 23 and Harris by 12).
  • President Trump also made significant inroads in voting blocs that have traditionally leaned towards the democratic party, including cutting Harris’s edge with voters aged 18-29 down to 8 from Biden’s 28, and cutting Biden’s 2020 lead with Hispanic voters from 33 to 6.

So how did we get there? Cillizza made it very clear that he believed Trump won the election, and Harris did not lose it. But nonetheless, Cillizza’s analysis highlighted three main factors that contributed to Harris’ loss:

1. The Economy as a Decisive Issue: Exit polls showed that two-thirds of voters identified the economy as their top concern. Within this group, Trump held a significant lead, with a 69-29 margin. Voters’ focus on economic issues proved pivotal, and many voters aligned with Trump’s policies in hopes of economic improvement.

2. Biden’s Unpopularity and Harris’s Response: Biden’s low approval ratings posed challenges for the Harris campaign. Her reluctance to differentiate herself from Biden or define her own stance became apparent during an interview on The View. When asked what she would do differently from Biden, Harris replied, “There is not a thing that comes to mind.” This response missed an opportunity to appeal to voters dissatisfied with the current administration and reinforced her association with Biden’s unpopularity.

3. The Impact of Messaging on Key Voting Groups: The Democrats centered their campaign on the importance of defending democracy, portraying Trump as a threat. However, this message resonated primarily with the left-leaning base and less so with undecided or moderate voters. This difference was especially evident in Senate races, where four states that voted for Trump also elected Democratic senators. For context, there were a combined 69 senate races in the 2016 and 2020 elections and in only one instance (Republican Senator Susan Collins of Maine) did a state elect a senator and president from different parties.

Cillizza also noted that the Harris campaign heavily emphasized abortion rights, hoping this would drive voter turnout. While abortion-access ballot measures passed in seven out of ten states, Trump still won in many of these areas showing that even when voters supported abortion access, they did not necessarily align with Harris’s broader platform.

Conclusion

In the end, the 2024 presidential election underscored the importance of addressing issues that matter most to Americans. It also reminded me that TFI’s role as the voice of the fertilizer industry is not just to react to election results but to stay focused on representing the interests of our industry by working with policymakers, regardless of party, to craft sound policies that foster stability, innovation, and growth.

I hope you enjoyed diving into these insights as much as I did. There will certainly be no shortage of Monday morning quarterbacks and dissection of the 2024 election results! But for now, I’m happy to take a breather and get back to focusing on policy.

Port Strikes and Fertilizer: Navigating Disruptions to Keep Farms Growing

Fertilizer doesn’t just magically appear on farms. It’s part of a global marketplace that requires precise planning, year-round logistics, and a highly complex system behind the scenes. This system ensures that farmers have the nutrients they need, exactly when and where they are needed. A critical component of that system? Ports and harbors.

Let’s explore why ports like Tampa, New Orleans, and Houston are vital for the fertilizer supply chain, and how recent disruptions could have ripple effects across the agriculture sector.

Why Ports Matter for Fertilizer

Fertilizer is a global commodity. It’s bought, sold, and shipped around the world to reach farmers at the optimal time. Some of the most important ports for fertilizer in the U.S. are located along the East and Gulf Coasts. For instance, did you know that 70% of fertilizer imports into the region pass through New Orleans? Similarly, Tampa handles over half of the region’s fertilizer exports, making it another crucial hub.

When these ports operate smoothly, the fertilizer supply chain flows without disruption. But when they don’t, the consequences can be felt far beyond the docks. Farmers rely on these shipments to grow the crops that feed us all, so even a short delay at the port can snowball into much larger problems.

The Impact of the Port Strike

A recent strike affecting over a dozen U.S. ports has sparked serious concern across the fertilizer industry. While the strike primarily targets container and roll-on/roll-off terminals (which handle cars, trucks, and other large cargo), it hasn’t left the fertilizer industry untouched. Fertilizer is usually shipped in bulk—a method where large amounts are loaded directly into ships’ holds—so bulk terminals have mostly been spared from the disruptions.

However, a rising trend complicates things: the growing use of containers to ship fertilizer and other agricultural inputs. This shift means that the strike could now impact a greater portion of the fertilizer supply chain than before. Additionally, this is the first strike impacting East and Gulf coast ports in decades, so the full scope of impacts to the supply chain are unknown, including if the stoppage will cause delays in getting these essential nutrients to farmers.

Fertilizer’s Global Journey

It’s important to remember that fertilizer isn’t just a U.S. product; it’s part of an interconnected global marketplace. The raw materials used to produce fertilizer are sourced from countries like Canada, Russia, and Morocco. Once purchased, these products travel across oceans to key U.S. ports, such as those in New Orleans or Tampa. From there, they’re unloaded and distributed to farms across the country.

The fertilizer that helps crops grow in Iowa or Ohio could have traveled thousands of miles to get there, passing through ports, railways, and highways. Any disruption at a port can create delays that reverberate through the entire supply chain.

Why a Quick Resolution Is Needed

Fertilizer isn’t just needed once per year—it’s required year-round. While planting season is a particularly crucial time, farmers must plan well in advance to ensure they have the right fertilizer to boost yields and maintain soil health. Timing of these applications is also critical to prevent runoff into waterways and loss of the nutrients by farmers resulting in smaller crop yields.

Prolonged port disruptions could leave farmers without the fertilizer they need when they need to apply it. If shipments are delayed, it can lower crop yields, leading to everything from higher food prices to shortages of essential agricultural products. While fertilizer companies have taken steps – like prepurchasing and prepositioning – to mitigate effects from a port shutdown, resolving the current port strike as quickly as possible remains critical.

Wrapping Up

A swift resolution to the ongoing port strike is essential to ensure that farmers receive the nutrients they need to feed the nation—and the world. Both sides in the dispute need to return to the negotiating table to find a resolution. If negotiations falter, it may be time for the White House to intervene and help reopen the ports, keeping the fertilizer supply chain flowing.

The Vital Role of WRDA: How Inland Waterways Support the Fertilizer Industry and Your Dinner Table

We’re diving into a topic that might not always grab the headlines but is crucial for a steady food supply: the Water Resources Development Act (WRDA). This legislation, along with our inland waterways, plays a key role in supporting the fertilizer industry and agriculture.

What is WRDA?

The Water Resources Development Act (WRDA) is pivotal U.S. legislation that authorizes and prioritizes water resource projects, including dams, levees, ports, and inland waterways. WRDA ensures that the US Army Corps of Engineers has the appropriate direction for maintaining and improving our waterway infrastructure, preventing disruptions, and supporting the agricultural industry by facilitating efficient transportation of goods like fertilizers.

Why Inland Waterways Matter

Inland waterways are the hidden highways of our transportation network, essential for moving goods smoothly across the country. For the fertilizer industry, these waterways are vital. Fertilizers are bulky and heavy, making water transport efficient and cost-effective. Regular Congressional action on WRDA bills keeps this infrastructure in top shape, ensuring fertilizers and other essentials reach farmers efficiently.

Investing in water infrastructure through WRDA isn’t just about maintaining old systems—it’s about making them more efficient and reliable. This often includes the construction of whole new lock facilities to meet modern requirements. This means smoother transport, lower costs for producers and consumers, and a stronger, more resilient economy.

The Case for Investing in Waterway Infrastructure

Many locks and dams in the U.S. are over 90 years old, some dating back to the 1930s. This aging infrastructure urgently needs maintenance and upgrades to prevent significant delays and disruptions. Portions of the inland waterway network in poor condition act as bottlenecks due to the need for unscheduled maintenance, with each day of delay depriving crops of essential nutrients, resulting in lower yields and higher costs, which can lead to higher prices for consumers. Many of our oldest locks are only half the size needed for modern tug and barge traffic.

Investing in waterway infrastructure is crucial for efficiency, safety, and economic stability. Upgrading our lock and dam systems ensures smoother, more reliable transportation, reduces costs, and enhances economic stability. WRDA plays a critical role by prioritizing essential maintenance and upgrades, transforming old systems into efficient networks.

Key WRDA Legislative Support and Benefits

TFI supports the enactment of a final WRDA bill before the end of 2024. Thankfully, both the Senate and House have passed their versions of the legislation. TFI is especially supportive of a provision advanced by the Senate which would propose changing the cost-share for waterway projects from the current 65% general revenues/35% Inland Waterways Trust Fund (IWTF) split to 75% general revenues/25% IWTF. Bringing more general revenue dollars towards inland waterway projects accelerates funding for critical construction and rehab projects, saving taxpayers money and speeding up project completion.

Addressing the maintenance backlog, estimated at billions of dollars, is an investment in our future. Well-maintained waterways enable the fertilizer industry to transport goods quickly and reliably, ensuring farmers receive supplies on time. This leads to better crop yields and stable food prices.

Positive Consequences of WRDA Reauthorization

Recent progress in advancing the WRDA bills has been remarkable, with strong bipartisan support in both the Senate and the House. The Senate’s bill even received unanimous approval, showcasing a unified commitment to enhancing our water infrastructure. This legislative progress promises a brighter future for our waterways and the agricultural sector.

With the right policies in place, WRDA reauthorization ensures:

  1. Efficient Transport: Fertilizer moves smoothly along well-maintained waterways.
  2. Timely Delivery: Farmers receive the fertilizer they need without costly delays.
  3. Healthy Crops: Proper nutrients from fertilizer promote healthy crop growth and high yields.
  4. Stable Prices: Higher yields mean more supply, helping to stabilize food prices.
  5. Happy Consumers: Enjoy your favorite foods without breaking the bank.

Let’s Wrap It Up

WRDA and our inland waterways are critical components of the fertilizer industry’s supply chain. Investing in this infrastructure ensures that farmers get the supplies they need, crops grow efficiently, and food prices remain stable. So, next time you enjoy a fresh salad or a hearty bowl of pasta, take a moment to appreciate the complex system that helps get that food from the farm to your table. It’s all connected, and it all starts with smart investments in our waterway infrastructure. By supporting these efforts, we can keep our food system strong, our economy stable, and our communities thriving.

Balancing Act: The Essential Role of Formaldehyde in Agriculture and the Potential Impact of Proposed New EPA Regulations

Formaldehyde may not immediately spring to mind when considering agriculture, yet it plays a critical role, particularly in the production of fertilizers. Often linked with the preservation of biological specimens, formaldehyde’s agricultural importance cannot be overstated. As a naturally occurring organic compound, formaldehyde is vital for producing granular urea and slow-release urea fertilizers. However, the EPA’s newly proposed, overly conservative risk determinations on formaldehyde could drastically alter its use in agriculture, potentially leading to higher food costs and impacting crop yields.

Understanding Formaldehyde’s Agricultural Impact

Formaldehyde is crucial in producing urea and slow-release urea fertilizers. Nearly 25% of all nitrogen consumed domestically is urea. Slow-release urea fertilizers come in both solid and liquid forms and are designed to release nutrients slowly. This slow-release process reduces nitrogen runoff—limiting environmental impacts—and ensures that crops receive a steady supply of nutrients. As a result, plants are healthier and have higher yields. This method makes formaldehyde indispensable in modern agriculture, as it enhances the efficiency of plants using nitrogen and supports sustainable farming efforts.

Why Farmers Rely on Urea-Formaldehyde

  • Efficiency: This type of fertilizer releases nitrogen gradually, decreasing the need for frequent reapplication, thus reducing labor and ensuring consistent plant growth.
  • Environmental Impact: It minimizes nutrient runoff, protecting water sources and ecosystems
  • Versatility: Urea-formaldehyde fertilizers are versatile and can be tailored for use with a variety of crops, enhancing their applicability across different agricultural practices.

The Challenge of New EPA Formaldehyde Regulations

The Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) has released its draft risk determinations for formaldehyde and a draft occupational exposure value. Industry experts have criticized these proposed limits, arguing that the restrictions are too severe, don’t align with global standards, and are not justified by the best available science. In fact, the EPA’s proposed limits are even lower than the levels of formaldehyde found in half of homes in the US. Finalization of unobtainable exposure values could disrupt the production of essential agricultural products without improving safety. This situation highlights the need for realistic regulations that balance wellness with the practical needs of agriculture.

If finalized as proposed, the EPA’s unreasonable risk determination of formaldehyde use will create a tricky situation. The subsequent risk management rule will aim to eliminate unreasonable risks by imposing unachievable workplace protections or prohibited uses that completely bring challenges for agriculture, farmers, and consumers.

Challenges from stricter regulations could impact the lives of all Americans. Potential issues include:

  • Impact on Crop Yields: If farmers are unable to use urea-formaldehyde fertilizers, we could see an impact on some crop yields, which could affect food availability and prices.
  • Higher Food Prices: Increased costs in fertilizer production could lead to higher grocery prices for all Americans.

Formaldehyde may not be a familiar substance outside scientific and agricultural circles, but it’s essential for producing fertilizers that sustain our food supply. Although the industry is committed to working with agencies to promote the safety of the agriculture value chain, EPA’s proposed exposure limit is excessively strict and not based on the best available science. The challenge lies in balancing public health concerns with agricultural production needs. A more balanced approach to regulation would safeguard public health without disrupting the economic stability of farmers or impacting crop yields and food prices. By aligning these new regulations with practical agricultural practices and international standards, we can protect public health and support the foundation of America’s food system.

Global Fertilizer Day: Harnessing Nitrogen

On the 13th of October every year, the agricultural world comes together to celebrate one of the most revolutionary inventions: the harvesting of nitrogen from the air. This remarkable invention gave birth to modern-day fertilizers, and consequently, Global Fertilizer Day is commemorated to honor this milestone in agricultural innovation.

At the heart of this celebration lies the simple yet profound understanding of nitrogen’s role in plant growth. Nitrogen is an essential component of amino acids, proteins, and nucleic acids, foundational to all life forms. Although the Earth’s atmosphere is composed of about 78% nitrogen, plants cannot directly utilize this atmospheric nitrogen. Instead, they rely on nitrogen compounds present in the soil.

Historically, farmers depended on organic materials like manure, compost, or crop residues to replenish soil nitrogen. However, the growing human population necessitated a more reliable and voluminous nitrogen source. This need led to the invention of the Haber-Bosch process in the early 20th century, a method that captures nitrogen from the air and converts it into ammonia.

The advent of modern fertilizers changed the face of agriculture, dramatically increasing crop yields. With the world’s population expected to reach nearly 10 billion by 2050, ensuring food security becomes paramount. Here’s how fertilizers play an indispensable role:

  • Fertilizers provide essential nutrients that might be deficient in the soil, resulting in higher crop production.
  • Sustainable Farming and modern precision agriculture use fertilizers more efficiently by utilizing the 4R method, delivering the right source, the right amount, at the right time and place, minimizing wastage and environmental impact.
  • Fertilizers improve the nutritional content of foods. Adequate fertilization can enhance the nutritional value of crops, leading to healthier diets.

Global Fertilizer Day isn’t just a celebration of an invention. It’s an acknowledgment of fertilizers’ central role in ensuring food security for billions worldwide. As we get ready to mark this day, let’s appreciate the immense contributions of the agricultural community and reaffirm our commitment to sustainable farming practices, ensuring a nourished and secure future for all.

For ways you can be involved in Global Fertilizer Day, click HERE.

The ACE Act Could Grow 4R Research

The Advancing Cutting Edge (ACE) Agriculture Act (S.834) was introduced in the US Senate by Senators Michael Bennet (D-CO) and Roger Marshall (R-KS) on March 16, 2023. The legislation will establish a new program within the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) called the ACE Agriculture Research and Extension Program, which would provide grants to universities, research institutions, and other organizations to conduct research and develop new technologies and practices in areas such as precision agriculture, plant and animal breeding, soil health, and water management.

The ACE Agriculture Act aims to promote innovation in American agriculture and help farmers and ranchers stay competitive in a rapidly changing global marketplace. By investing in research and development, the bill seeks to support adopting cutting-edge technologies and practices that can increase productivity, reduce costs, and improve sustainability in the agriculture sector, including research related to 4R Nutrient Stewardship.

The 4R Nutrient Stewardship, also known as the 4Rs, is an approach to fertilizer management that involves using the right source of fertilizer, at the right rate, at the right time, and in the right place. This approach aims to optimize nutrient use efficiency and minimize nutrient losses to the environment, promoting sustainable agricultural practices. Studies have shown that using the 4R method has proven benefits, including reducing nutrient losses and increasing yields.

The 4R Research Fund was established to develop sustainability indicators and environmental impact data for the implementation of 4R Nutrient Stewardship across North America. The fund offers essential resources to measure and document the economic, social, and environmental impacts of 4R Nutrient Stewardship.

4R Research encompasses a broad range of studies related to nutrient management, including research on fertilizer formulation and application, soil health, crop yields, and environmental impacts. The 4R Research website,  https://www.4rresearch.org/us-funded-projects/, lists industry and government-funded research projects related to 4R Nutrient Stewardship, which can be a valuable resource for individuals interested in learning more about current research in this area.

The most important part of all research is finding ways it can be practically applied and publicly promoted. The 4R Advocates program is an initiative by The Fertilizer Institute (TFI) to recognize individuals and retailers who implement 4R Nutrient Stewardship concepts on their farms. Each year, some of the top 4R farmers and retailers in the U.S. are selected by TFI as annual 4R Advocates. These farms actively demonstrate the 4R Nutrient Stewardship concept, which is shown to maximize crop yields while minimizing nutrient loss to the environment and improving soil health.

The ACE Agriculture Act is related to 4R Research and 4R Nutrient Stewardship. It seeks to fund research on sustainable agricultural practices, including research related to 4R Nutrient Stewardship, to support the long-term sustainability and productivity of the U.S. agricultural sector. As part of its efforts to support sustainable agriculture, the ACE Agriculture Act includes funding for research on 4R Nutrient Stewardship practices, including plant and soil health, precision agriculture, and water management programs aimed at reducing the environmental impact of agriculture activities.

In addition to funding research, the ACE Agriculture Research and Extension Program would provide funding for extension services to help farmers and ranchers adopt new technologies and practices in their operations. This could include training and education on 4R Nutrient Stewardship practices, as well as other sustainable agriculture practices.

The ACE Agriculture Act and the 4R nutrient stewardship framework both aim to promote sustainable agriculture practices that can improve productivity, reduce costs, and improve environmental outcomes in the agriculture sector. The research funded by the ACE Agriculture Research and Extension Program could include studies on the 4R nutrient stewardship framework and its application in different agricultural systems. This could consist of adopting 4R practices by providing funding for research and development in areas such as precision agriculture, soil health, and water management. While the ACE Act will increase funding for new research and applied agricultural science, organizations like TFI are critical in sharing the importance and impact of these efforts with the public.

Potential Growth for Biostimulants

Biostimulants are growing in popularity in the agronomic market as innovative new products to optimize crop production and quality. Biostimulants, by definition, are substances or microorganisms that promote plant growth, nutrient uptake, crop quality or yield, and/or stress tolerance. Interest in biostimulant products has increased, especially in regards to sustainable agriculture as they may improve nutrient use efficiency.

Biostimulants fit into the 4R nutrient stewardship framework with their contribution to nutrient use efficiency. Biostimulants can improve this nutrient efficiency with two major mechanisms: 1) by improving nutrient capture through nutrient availability or larger root systems, or 2) by improving the plant’s ability to metabolize nutrients and convert nutrients to increased yields.

Numerous types of biostimulants are available for use in agriculture. The categories recognized by the industry include live microbials, seaweed extracts, humic or fulvic acids, free amino acids and peptides, and purified molecules.

Live microbials include both inoculants that can build nodules on the root (e.g., the commonly used rhizobium in soybean), free-living N-fixing bacteria, and fungi (e.g., mycorrhizae) to extend the root system. Living microbials are designed to enhance nutrient uptake and availability to the plant and are also called biologicals, as they are living organisms (as the definition of biology infers living).

Seaweed extracts contain various natural compounds that can lead to better root growth and nutrient absorption. Humic acids, fulvic acids, and humates are obtained from decomposed organic matter and can improve soil structure, fertility, and plant health. The humics, fulvics, and humates are also called complex carbon-based products as they are derived from organics, and organic itself means the substance contains carbon. The amino acids and protein hydrolysates are the building blocks of proteins in organisms and have been shown to help improve N assimilation and utilization in the plant. The last category, the purified molecules, comes from minerals, plants, animals, and microbes, and are reported to help with stress responses in the plant. When a plant is stressed, its response is to shut down growth. Biostimulants are designed to help plants under stress mitigate some of those plant responses and encourage growth.

Each of the biostimulants has specific benefits for plants and soil. It is crucial to select the appropriate biostimulant to target higher crop yields, better plant nutrition, improved soil fertility, or potentially reduce the need for inputs such as water and fertilizer.

Biostimulants have the potential to improve farming in several ways:

Crop performance: By providing plants with essential nutrients, biostimulants can help improve plant performance, potentially resulting in better yields and higher-quality produce. Also, biostimulants can help plants cope with environmental stress such as flooding, drought, and severe temperatures.

Optimizing inputs:  Some biostimulants can allow plants to better utilize nutrient inputs such as fertilizer. These biostimulants can increase nutrient uptake or optimize fertilizer use by the plant. In turn, this can reduce off-farm nutrient loss to waterways and to the atmosphere as greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions.

Promoting sustainability: Biostimulants are primarily derived from natural sources and are usually biodegradable, making them a sustainable option. Farmers can potentially get the maximum advantages of inputs such as fertilizer by using biostimulants. In addition to optimizing inputs, biostimulants can also help to maintain soil biodiversity, which is critical for sustainable and regenerative agriculture. Stimulated root growth from biostimulants can help increase underground biomass, and may lead to greater carbon sequestration and mitigating of greenhouse gases.

Increasing profitability: By improving the efficiency of nutrient uptake by plants and allowing them to make better use of the nutrients already present in the soil, biostimulants may improve profits for farmers. Choosing the right biostimulant for the farmers’ operation can lead to yield gains and overall profit increases.

Biostimulants have promise to be highly valuable agricultural products and can have a significant impact on farming practices. As farmers continue to look for more sustainable and efficient ways to produce crops, biostimulants are emerging as an promising tool. Overall, biostimulants have the potential to improve farming by providing a way to assist crop performance and optimize inputs, which helps promote sustainable farming practices while increasing profitability. We encourage state and federal regulators and legislators to create a streamlined and efficient path to market for these products. Doing so will give growers better access to these products to provide the food, fuel, and fiber needed to support a growing world.